Where Sather Went Wrong: Extending Rozsival

Part One.
Part Two.

This is now the third part of a the decisions of General Manager Glen Sather. Sather has come under some real heat lately, as the Rangers are in what appears to be a free fall, and have no cap room to make any adjustments. The highest paid players on the Rangers have been, to be delicate, disappointing. Sather’s strength during his tenure with the Rangers has been his ability to make trades, but this does not overshadow his weakness of evaluating the market and making the best decision for the team. In this series, I will analyze where Sather went wrong, and where he lost the fans.

In this third installment, we again look at the 2008 offseason. The Rangers found themselves with just four defensemen, and three big names in free agency coming their way. Having just spent a combined $14 million on Scott Gomez and Chris Drury the previous season, the Rangers could only afford one of the big name free agents, while attempting to retain others who were free agents. Of course, the Rangers signed Wade Redden and Dmitri Kalinin, re-upped Paul Mara, and then traded Fedor Tyutin and Christian Backman for Nikolai Zherdev. Perhaps the deal that made the most noise, other than Redden’s signing, was the extension given to Michal Rozsival; a four-year deal worth $20 million.

The Rangers had their fair share of large contracts before Rozsival re-upped with the Rangers. They had the aforementioned Gomez/Drury contracts, and now the Redden contract. In three players, the Rangers had committed more than $20 million. They also had to resign Henrik Lundqvist, who gave the team a break and allowed them to deal with the salary cap woes prior to signing his long term deal. Rozsival was a key cog in the Rangers defense during his stay in New York, and deserved to be resigned. Insert Glen Sather, and his inability to appropriately read the market, and Rozsival now sits with a $5 million cap hit, more than double his previous contract.

This move was, in short, a disaster. For $5 million, the Rangers got a regressing Rozsival who has yet to find his game after his hip surgery. After a career year in which he anchored the powerplay, he became shot-shy, and rarely put the puck on net. Instead, he deferred to the larger contracts of Gomez and Drury to create. He stopped hitting people, and forwards just started skating by him, untouched.

Meanwhile, the current Rangers defense, already with Redden’s abysmal contract, became one of the softest in the league. A more appropriate contract for Rozsival, say three years $10 million, and the Rangers find themselves with more wiggle room, and maybe the ability to trade Rozsival to fill the hole of physical defenseman.

Chalk up this signing to poor timing and a regressing player. Had the Rangers not already committed $6.5 million a year to Redden, this signing would be easier to swallow. As it stands now, both signings are terrible, but Rozsival has become a black hole on defense, and prone to epic turnovers that have cost games.

Luckily for the Rangers, buying out Rozsival is a feasible option (If you haven’t checked out that post, you should, it took me forever to write). It’s not the prettiest of solutions, like the Gomez trade, but it gets the job done.

Lunqvist Named Swedish Goalie

This is relatively old news, and unsurprising news, but Henrik Lundqvist has been named the starting goalie for the Swedish Olympic team. In the 2006 Olympics, Lundqvist backed the Swedish team to a gold medal. Although the 2010 Swedish team will lack Mats Sundin, they are making up for it with new comer Niklas Backstrom.

I get the feeling that Sweden will be defending their gold in the medal round this year, possibly against Canada.

Mathieu Schneider Available

Jason Botchford, beat writer for the Canucks, has tweeted that Vancouver defenseman Mathieu Schneider is being shopped around. Schneider, 40, is currently unhappy with his role and playing time on the Canucks. His cap hit is a prorated $2.75 million ($1.5 million base, $1.2 bonuses), but he is unlikely to attain these bonuses. His contract has games played bonuses for every 10 games played. Seeing as he has already missed 21 games this year, his cap hit is more likely around $1.85 million, prorated (assume roughly $1 million, it’s a nice round number), and he will be a UFA at the end of the season.

The Rangers, who are in desperate need of another defenseman, should at least kick the tires on this one. No, he’s not a physical defenseman, but hey, if Slats can find a way to dump Ales Kotalik (hypothetical, clearly won’t happen) on Vancouver in return, then it’s worth having a discussion. Considering the number of blue line free agents in the coming off season, shedding some salary may be a good thing.

Again, it’s worth kicking the tires.

Kreider Scores Winner, USA 2-0

The U20 Team USA increased their record to 2-0 last night, beating the Swiss 3-0. Two Ranger prospects again impressed during the victory, as Chris Kreider netted the eventual game winner, with Derek Stepan picking up an assist on the goal. Ryan Bourque picked up his first point of the tournament, an assist, on the second goal of the game.

The Rangers have a fourth prospect participating in the tournament. Roman Horak (2009, 5th round), playing for the Czech Republic, netted his first goal of the tournament in a 4-3 loss to Finland. The Czech team is 0-2 thus far.

Prospal Out 10-21 Days

As per Larry Brooks’ twitter, Rangers forward Vinny Prospal will be out anywhere from ten days to three weeks to have his knee ‘scoped. This is something the Rangers can ill afford to happen right now, but it has happened, so they will need to deal.

How they deal will be a tough task. Who lines up with Marian Gaborik now? Will it be Brandon Dubinsky and Sean Avery? Artem Anisimov and Chris Higgins? No one knows for now.

The Rangers team on Gaborik’s back just got heavier.

More Moves Coming?

The Rangers have two very large problems at hand: 1) they are right up on the salary cap, which leaves them little room to address their 2) anemic defense. While many are speculating that Wade Redden (or Michal Rozeival) could be sent to the minors to relieve some of the cap stress, especially after coach John Tortorella’s comments about adding a seventh devenseman, I don’t see that happening. There are other ways to add a defenseman without waiving another.

Currently, the Rangers are carrying 14 forwards and 6 defensemen. The easy solution here is to dump a forward and call up a defenseman. Who gets the heave-ho? If I had to guess, it would be one of Aaron Voros or Erik Christensen. Voros hasn’t been able to crack the roster since Torts came on board last season, and Donald Brashear’s presence makes Voros expendable. Christensen, recently claimed off waivers from Anaheim, has been unimpressive since joining the Rangers. Both would have to pass through waivers to be sent down to Hartford. Once there, it will be unlikely that either will be recalled, as there is a good chance they will be claimed off re-entry waivers for a discount.

USA Wins Opener, Stepan Collects Three Points

Team USA got off to a great start in the World Junior Championships yesterday, downing Slovakia 7-3 in the opener. Team USA was down 2-0 early, but tallied four goals in a row en route to the rout.

Rangers 2008 second round draft pick Derek Stepan had a big game, netting a goal, two assists, and a plus-4 rating. Chris Kreider, the Rangers 2009 first round pick, also hit the score sheet with an assist and a plus-1.

Ryan Bourque (2009, third round) also played a solid game, finishing with a plus-1 rating.

Game 38: Rangers vs Islanders

Hope you and yours had a very Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays. But, there’s hockey to be played, and the Rangers are looking to win their fifth straight.

OPPONENT: Islanders

RECORD: 14-17-7

LEADING SCORER: John Tavares, 16-12-28

GOALIE: Dwayne Roloson, with a 2.87 GAA and a .910 save percentage

RANGERS LINES:

Vinny Prospal-Brandon Dubinsky-Marian Gaborik
Christopher Higgins-Artem Anisimov-Ryan Callahan
Sean Avery-Chris Drury-Enver Lisin
Donald Brashear-Brian Boyle-Ales Kotalik
Marc Staal-Michal Rozsival
Michael Del Zotto-Dan Girardi
Wade Redden-Matt Gilroy
Henrik Lundqvist

STATE OF THE RANGERS: Pretty good. 4 in a row. Some great individual efforts. Henrik has been awesome. So has Gaborik, Callahan, Drury. Anisimov has had some pretty good games, as well. The Rangers are really playing well. I want to see them keep this up. 4 games do not a season make. The PK has been particularly awesome (who needs Blair Betts and Freddy Sjostrom?) The last time the Rangers faced the Isles at home, it started the Great Tortorella Tirade of ’09. You would think the Rangers would come out strong.

CRAZY THOUGHT: Brashear scores a goal.

ON THE iPOD: Don’t Forget, by Brett Dennen. This guy is the best songwriter out there. Check out his stuff. Here’s his website.

FINAL PREDICTION: The streak stays alive. Rangers 4, Islanders 2

So, watch, discuss, have fun. LET’S GO RANGERS!!!! POTVIN SUCKS!!!!!

Which Rangers Will Be In The Olympics?

With the Olympics around the corner, and the announcement of rosters just days away, it’s time to break down which Rangers will be heading to Vancouver.

MORTAL LOCKS:

Henrik Lundqvist, Sweden

Marian Gaborik, Slovakia

What, you thought these guys would be staying home?

ON THE BUBBLE:

Chris Drury, USA

Ryan Callahan, USA

Vinny Prospal, Czech Republic

Marc Staal, Canada

I think Drury’s recent hot streak helps him. He’s an unbelievable penalty killer. And a great leader. But, he may not score enough to make it. Same with Callahan. Will he provide enough offense for USA to take him? He’d be a hell of a 3rd liner, though. Prospal is interesting. He probably wasn’t on the radar at the beginning of the year. But, he’s had a such a good year, and he can really set up some of the big stars. Staal is probably a long-shot. He hasn’t had a great year, offensively, but he can be a shut down defenseman. I think 2014 is more likely for him.

Anyone I’m missing?

Why You Can’t Trust NHL ’10

A few days ago, I wrote a post on the common misconception about dealing monstrous contracts. Well, there is something to add on to this, and that is the trade offers you can make in video games. Some believe that these are a simulation of real life. To that, I give you the trade the computer offered me during the offseason:

To NYR:
Joe Thornton
Manny Malholtra

To SJ:
Wade Redden
Matt Gilroy
P.A. Parenteau

I rest my case.