What It Should Cost To Lock Up Dubinsky
During the break-up day interviews at the Training Center, Brandon Dubinsky revealed that he wanted to get his new deal done sooner rather than later. Last time around Dubinsky’s negotiations stretched all the way into September, frustrating the young Alaskan and bewildering most of the Rangers fanbase. Dubinsky told the NY Media, “I want them, they want me…Let’s not waste each other’s time.” And really, can you blame him for feeling that way?
Of course such things are easier said than done, so we figured we would help Dubinsky out and breakdown what we think he’s worth based on a few comparables.
Fortunately for Brandon, his breakout season (24g/54pts) came at just the right time. More important than his stats though, was the quality of ice time he had been getting. He was used in every situation and was the go-to-guy down the stretch when Ryan Callahan went down and Gaborik failed to step up.
Dubinsky is eligible for arbitration and is two years away from Group III status (aka unrestricted free agency). Pending on how many Group III years Sather buys up, will obviously determine his cap hit, but I would expect him to get a four year deal around $13-16 million (or around $3.5M per).
Ironically enough, Dubinsky is represented by Kurt Overhardt, who also represents Travis Zajac. Coming off three years experience with similar stats, Zajac got a 4 year $15.5 million contract (or a $3.88M cap hit) in 2009. David Krejci also received a similar contract ($3.7M per) from the Bruins, despite having less experience and more points upon his signing. I would expect Dubinsky to garner about the same amount, again pending the years.
Also, if I’m Sather, I don’t want to have to resign both Dubinsky and Callahan during the same offseason again, so I would expect them to have different contract lengths, similar to what Sather did with Girardi and Staal last summer. Never the less, both players should end up being offered around the same money, give or a take a few hundred thousand.
By Sioux-per-man, April 28, 2011 @ 1:16 pm
I say 3 Mill a year – with a Letter
Cally gets the longer contract by a year – and gets the C. But that’s just me. Both want to be Rangers for a long time. Not sure how much of a concession players are willing to take, knowing they need to upgrade the talent on the team, and Sather might have to spend more / have available to offer Richards.
Don’t you think these will be address after Richards deal in July?
froyo Reply:
April 28th, 2011 at 5:29 pm
I’d make a concession to play with Gretzky or with the Scotty Bowman Wings. Probably not for the chance to play with Dubinsky and Cally on a team that barely is sliding into the playoffs.
By The Suit, April 28, 2011 @ 2:13 pm
Depends on what happens during the draft. There’s usually lots of activity. Plus you have the whole buyout period as well. Either way I think Cally and Dubi get locked up fairly quickly.
Arty and Boyle will probably be put on the back burner if I had to guess.
By Section 121, April 28, 2011 @ 2:26 pm
For Cally, I refer to Dustin Brown; hits everything in sight, wears the “C,” and just before he signed his last deal he put up a line of 33-27-60. He signed for 3.175 per for 6 yrs.
Now, if the Savior can pull off some of this kind of magic, then I’ll be impressed.
Dubi and Cally for both less than 3.5 per is a success.
Brian SCS Reply:
April 28th, 2011 at 4:43 pm
This is the best comparable for Callahan no doubt, but the Backes contract skews it the other way for Dubinsky. Both around 3.5 mil and Slats should jump on it.
By Dave, April 28, 2011 @ 2:41 pm
I’d expect Dubi to get 4 years $15.5 million ($3.875m cap hit) and Cally 5 years $20 million ($4m cap hit). Cally gets more money because they are buying out an extra year of UFA for him in his prime.
By The Suit, April 28, 2011 @ 3:11 pm
So I guess Cally doesn’t need his own post eh?
Dave Reply:
April 28th, 2011 at 4:13 pm
Now now, no one said that lol.
By Section 121, April 28, 2011 @ 3:11 pm
Here’s a late rant, thought, musing…
That Lidstrom nomination for the Norris trophy is an absolute JOKE!
The Suit Reply:
April 28th, 2011 at 3:20 pm
Why he was what second in the league in points for a dman?
Section 121 Reply:
April 28th, 2011 at 3:45 pm
Ok, and neither the first or the third were nominated. So why him at a -2 with less ATOI, less SOG, less hits, less blocks…
The Suit Reply:
April 28th, 2011 at 4:02 pm
Didn’t realize they left out Visnovsky? That is bull shit.
By Section 121, April 28, 2011 @ 3:49 pm
If there was a true attempt to find the best Dman and not just the most offensive, the complete package would be looked at.
Then the results would be;
1st Brent Seabrook
2nd Shea Weber
3rd Mike Green (with full season)
So I guess they got one out of three right.
The Suit Reply:
April 28th, 2011 at 4:05 pm
Green isn’t great in his own end. I’d swap Chara in. Thomas looks a lot better with him in the lineup.
Section 121 Reply:
April 28th, 2011 at 4:16 pm
Green is a +57 for his career. I think he’s just fine in his own end (that’s an even strength stat with shaky goaltending at best in WAS over his career).
To round out the top 5, Kris Letang and Zdeno Chara get honorable mention.
RangerSmurf Reply:
April 29th, 2011 at 8:40 am
Seabrook?!? lol
Keith pulls alot of the weight on that pair. Seabrook wouldn’t even be in my top 10.
By Matt J, April 28, 2011 @ 4:03 pm
Dubi should be 3.5 million Cally 3.8. I hope they realize if they want to make it past the first round then they need to take less money.
By rob sahm, April 28, 2011 @ 7:53 pm
dubi and cally deserve 5 year contracts at 3.5 mill per this is the heart and soul of the team and our core foundation for the future its a ni brainer get it done sather .